REFUSA

Is-enabled political decision support with scenario analyses for the substitution of fossil fuels

authored by

Maria Isabella Eickenjäger, Michael H. Breitner

Abstract

Fossil fuels in the transport and mobility sector can be replaced with several renewable fuels, such as renewable electricity, hydrogen and biomass-to-liquid. When these alternative fuels are used, aspects such as safeguarding supply, economic efficiency, and environmental protection must be taken into account to ensure sustainable change and to create a sustainable society. We introduce a scenario simulation, analysis and optimization prototype, called REFUSA (REnewable-FUels-Scenario-Analyses). The underlying optimization model that supports policy-making substituting fossil fuels with renewable fuels is outlined. To analyze future fuel markets, essential key factors and all major cause and effect laws are modeled and simulated holistically. To check feasibility, these key factors and their relationships were implemented with Microsoft Excel/VBA in the prototype system REFUSA. After each year is simulated, the consumption of different fuels, total emissions, fuel prices and total cost, subsidy costs, etc. are extracted and thus serve as a basis for political decision-making.

Organisation(s)

Institute of Computer Science for Business Administration

Type

Conference contribution

Pages

3320-3339

No. of pages

20

Publication date

2013

Publication status

Published

Peer reviewed

Yes

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Computer Science Applications, Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty, Applied Mathematics, Library and Information Sciences

Sustainable Development Goals

SDG 7 - Affordable and Clean Energy