Gemeinsame modellierung von niederschlag, abfluss, überflutung und schaden im flussgebiet der Bode

authored by
Uwe Haberlandt, Anna Dorothea Ebner von Eschenbach, Petra Hesse, Gabriele Malitz, Bernd Pfützner, Eberhard Reimer, Sahar Sodoudi, Konstantin Stricker, Winfried Willems
Abstract

The joint modelling of precipitation, runoff, inundation, and damage is presented in an application at the 3500 km2 Bode river basin. Three types of design rainfall are used: single events from regional frequency analyses, continuous precipitation downscaled from climate models, and stochastic continuous rainfall. Precipitation is transformed into design flows and inundation areas by means of rainfall-runoff models and hydraulic modelling. Then, the risk is estimated from derived damage probability distributions. The results show that single design-events are suitable only for smaller sub-basins, and that promising results may be achieved by using synthetic rainfall data irrespective of the basin size. The latter method of derived flood and risk analyses will become increasingly important, especially for effectivity studies of complex flood protection measures and for analyses of the consequences of climate and landflood risk.

Organisation(s)
Institute of Hydrology and Water Resources Management
External Organisation(s)
German Federal Institute of Hydrology (BfG)
BAH Berlin
Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)
Freie Universität Berlin (FU Berlin)
Ingenieurhydrologie, Angewandte Wasserwirtschaft und Geoinformatik (IAWG)
Type
Article
Journal
Hydrologie und Wasserbewirtschaftung
Volume
53
Pages
13-24
No. of pages
12
ISSN
1439-1783
Publication date
02.2009
Publication status
Published
Peer reviewed
Yes
ASJC Scopus subject areas
Water Science and Technology
Sustainable Development Goals
SDG 13 - Climate Action