The case of negative day-ahead electricity prices

authored by
Enzo Fanone, Andrea Gamba, Marcel Prokopczuk
Abstract

In recent years, Germany has significantly increased its share of electricity produced from renewable sources, which is mainly due to the Renewable Energy Act (EEG). The EEG substantially impacts the dynamics of intra-day electricity prices by increasing the likelihood of negative prices. In this paper, we present a non-Gaussian process to model German intra-day electricity prices and propose an estimation procedure for this model. Most importantly, our model is able to generate extreme positive and negative spikes. A simulation study demonstrates the ability of our model to capture the characteristics of the data.

External Organisation(s)
University of Trieste
ICMA Centre
University of Reading
University of Warwick
Type
Article
Journal
Energy Economics
Volume
35
Pages
22-34
No. of pages
13
ISSN
0140-9883
Publication date
01.01.2013
Publication status
Published
Peer reviewed
Yes
ASJC Scopus subject areas
Economics and Econometrics, General Energy
Sustainable Development Goals
SDG 7 - Affordable and Clean Energy
Electronic version(s)
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2011.12.006 (Access: Unknown)