Climate Models and the Irrelevance of Chaos

authored by
Corey Nathaniel Dethier
Abstract

Philosophy of science has witnessed substantial recent debate over the existence of a structural analogue of chaos, which is alleged to spell trouble for certain uses of climate models. The debate over the analogy can and should be separated from its alleged epistemic implications: chaos-like behavior is neither necessary nor sufficient for small dynamical misrepresentations to generate erroneous results. The kind of sensitivity that matters in epistemology is one that induces unsafe beliefs, and the existence of a structural analogue to chaos is better seen as an explanation for known safety failures than as providing evidence for unknown ones.

Organisation(s)
Institute of Philosophy
Type
Article
Journal
Philosophy of Science
Volume
88
Pages
997-1007
No. of pages
11
ISSN
0031-8248
Publication date
12.2021
Publication status
Published
Peer reviewed
Yes
ASJC Scopus subject areas
Philosophy, History, History and Philosophy of Science
Sustainable Development Goals
SDG 13 - Climate Action
Electronic version(s)
https://doi.org/10.1086/714705 (Access: Closed)