Climate Models and the Irrelevance of Chaos

verfasst von: Corey Nathaniel Dethier
Abstract: Philosophy of science has witnessed substantial recent debate over the existence of a structural analogue of chaos, which is alleged to spell trouble for certain uses of climate models. The debate over the analogy can and should be separated from its alleged epistemic implications: chaos-like behavior is neither necessary nor sufficient for small dynamical misrepresentations to generate erroneous results. The kind of sensitivity that matters in epistemology is one that induces unsafe beliefs, and the existence of a structural analogue to chaos is better seen as an explanation for known safety failures than as providing evidence for unknown ones.
Organisationseinheit(en): Institut für Philosophie
Typ: Artikel
Journal: Philosophy of Science
Band: 88
Seiten: 997-1007
Anzahl der Seiten: 11
ISSN: 0031-8248
Publikationsdatum: 12.2021
Publikationsstatus: Veröffentlicht
Peer-reviewed: Ja
ASJC Scopus Sachgebiete: Philosophie, Verlauf, Wissenschaftsgeschichte und -philosophie
Ziele für nachhaltige Entwicklung: SDG 13 – Klimaschutzmaßnahmen
Elektronische Version(en): https://doi.org/10.1086/714705 (Zugang: Geschlossen)