Against "Possibilist" Interpretations of Climate Models

verfasst von

Corey Dethier

Abstract

Climate scientists frequently employ heavily idealized models. How should these models be interpreted? Some philosophers have advanced a possibilist interpretation: climate models stand in for possible scenarios that could occur but do not provide information about how probable those scenarios are. This article argues that possibilism is (1) undermotivated, (2) incompatible with successful practices in the science, and (3) unable to correct for known biases. The upshot is that the models should be interpreted probabilistically in at least some cases.

Organisationseinheit(en)

Institut für Philosophie

Typ

Artikel

Journal

Philosophy of science

Band

90

Seiten

1417-1426

Anzahl der Seiten

10

ISSN

0031-8248

Publikationsdatum

12.2023

Publikationsstatus

Veröffentlicht

Peer-reviewed

Ja

ASJC Scopus Sachgebiete

Verlauf, Philosophie, Wissenschaftsgeschichte und -philosophie

Ziele für nachhaltige Entwicklung

SDG 13 – Klimaschutzmaßnahmen

Elektronische Version(en)

https://doi.org/10.1017/psa.2023.6 (Zugang: Offen)