Exploring the Future of Seas and Coasts

Scenarios within the Joint Research Project 'Zukunft Küste - Coastal Futures'

verfasst von

Andreas Kannen, Kai Ahrendt, Antje Bruns, Benjamin Burkhard, Doris Diembeck, Kira Gee, Bernhard Glaeser, Katharina Licht-Eggert, Tanja Michler, Ophelia Meyer-Engelhard, Corinna Nunneri, Sebastian Stragies, Wilhelm Windhorst

Abstract

Driven by a range of global developments, marine and coastal areas are faced with profound change. In Germany, the emergence of offshore wind farms is a new permanent large-scale activity which is much debated as a symbol for the increasing 'industrialisation' of coastal and marine waters.Within the research project 'Zukunft Küste - Coastal Futures', the development of scenarios is used to describe different development pathways that could emerge over the next 50 years. The storylines of these scenarios are built around five different patterns of sea use, each describing a different mix of driver settings and therefore resulting in different priorities of spatial use. The five patterns of use describe sea and coast (1) as a natural area, (2) as leisure and tourism area, (3) as a source for renewable energies, (4) as an industrial area and (5) as a transport area. It is suggested that scenario-based assessment of potential 'futures' could be a useful tool in integrated coastal zone management (ICZM). Scenarios as used within 'Zukunft Küste - Coastal Futures' can serve as a tool for visualising complex relationships between system elements and variables, providing an analytical context for subsequent system analysis.

Externe Organisation(en)

Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht Zentrum für Material- und Küstenforschung GmbH
Büro für Umwelt und Küste (BFUK)
Christian-Albrechts-Universität zu Kiel (CAU)
Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin für Sozialforschung gGmbH (WZB)
Alfred-Wegener-Institut (AWI) Helmholtz-Zentrum für Polar- und Meeresforschung

Typ

Beitrag in Buch/Sammelwerk

Seiten

207-218

Anzahl der Seiten

12

Publikationsdatum

31.07.2009

Publikationsstatus

Veröffentlicht

Peer-reviewed

Ja

ASJC Scopus Sachgebiete

Allgemeine Agrar- und Biowissenschaften, Allgemeiner Maschinenbau

Ziele für nachhaltige Entwicklung

SDG 7 – Erschwingliche und saubere Energie, SDG 14 – Lebensraum Wasser

Elektronische Version(en)

https://doi.org/10.1002/9781444316285.ch16 (Zugang: Unbekannt)