Calibrating statistical tools

Improving the measure of Humanity's influence on the climate

verfasst von

Corey Dethier

Abstract

Over the last twenty-five years, climate scientists working on the attribution of climate change to humans have developed increasingly sophisticated statistical models in a process that can be understood as a kind of calibration: the gradual changes to the statistical models employed in attribution studies served as iterative revisions to a measurement(-like) procedure motivated primarily by the aim of neutralizing particularly troublesome sources of error or uncertainty. This practice is in keeping with recent work on the evaluation of models more generally that views models as tools for particular tasks: what drives the process is the desire for models that provide more reliable grounds for inference rather than accuracy to the underlying mechanisms of data generation.

Organisationseinheit(en)

Graduiertenkolleg 2073/1

Typ

Artikel

Journal

Studies in History and Philosophy of Science

Band

94

Seiten

158-166

Anzahl der Seiten

9

ISSN

0039-3681

Publikationsdatum

08.2022

Publikationsstatus

Veröffentlicht

Peer-reviewed

Ja

ASJC Scopus Sachgebiete

Verlauf, Wissenschaftsgeschichte und -philosophie

Ziele für nachhaltige Entwicklung

SDG 13 – Klimaschutzmaßnahmen

Elektronische Version(en)

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.shpsa.2022.06.010 (Zugang: Geschlossen)